G. GILIOLI, S. PASQUALI


A parameter estimation method for arthropod populations

CNR-IMATI Technical Report 2003 - MI/7.

A method for parameter estimation of stage specific mortality rate functions for arthropod structured population is proposed. The application of this method requires three type of information: stage-frequency data of a sampled population, development rate function and time evolution of forcing variables affecting mortality. By means of an individual-based model the number of eggs produced by the adults is generated starting from the number of individuals collected at each sampling time. Using a compartmental model a stage-structured population dynamics is described and compared with the observations. Nonlinear regression methods based on least square principle are used to estimate the optimal parameters of the mortality rate function. As a case study, the parameter estimation of the temperature-dependent mortality function of olives fruit fly Bactrocera oleae is presented.





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